There's a 49 Percent Chance the World As We Know It Will End by 2050

Jared Diamond's new book, Upheaval, addresses itself to a world very obviously in crisis.

The story has moved quickly since it first surfaced, and the details our reporters have confirmed so far paint a fuller picture than the early headlines suggested. What follows is what we know, what remains unclear, and why it matters this morning.

The story so far

Sources close to the matter describe a situation that developed over months rather than days. Documents and interviews reviewed by Morning Glance show a pattern that was visible to insiders well before it reached public attention — and that pattern is what gives this story its weight.

Jared Diamond's new book, Upheaval, addresses itself to a world very obviously in crisis.

What to watch next

The coming weeks should bring more clarity. We will keep following the principals involved, the official responses, and the numbers that tell the real story — and we will update this piece as the facts develop. For the latest coverage, keep an eye on the Climate topic and our daily briefing.